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VBA2C: The Facts & Statistics on Birth After 2 Cesareans

We receive a lot of questions about VBA2C, like this email from a follower: “I am contemplating having one more child [after two C-sections]. I have moved to Utah, where I know I can easily find a doula or birthing center that would support a VBAC. After 2 though, I don’t really know all the …

Published on: July 26, 2021

We receive a lot of questions about VBA2C, like this email from a follower:

“I am contemplating having one more child [after two C-sections]. I have moved to Utah, where I know I can easily find a doula or birthing center that would support a VBAC. After 2 though, I don’t really know all the risks. I have friends that say don’t try it, it’s too dangerous. I’m not pregnant yet. I just want to have some dialogue about it. I want to know what’s possible.”

This mother’s story is one of frustration and struggle. VBA2C and VBAMC can be a confusing and a very misunderstood topic, leaving parents with a lot of questions and doubt. I can personally say that I had a lot of those questions and doubt when I was going for my VBA2C.

What are the risks and how can you find a VBAC-friendly provider to support you? How long should you wait to get pregnant after a C-section? What are the benefits of a natural birth, as opposed to a third Cesarean?

What are the FACTS about VBA2C?

This article will answer your questions, providing facts and VBA2C statistics to help you make informed decisions with your provider about your next birth.

What is a VBA2C?

VBA2C stands for Vaginal Birth After Two Cesareans. If you have given birth via C-Section twice, your provider will consider your next birth a Vaginal Birth after 2 C-sections, even if you’ve also had previous vaginal births.

What are the risks of having a natural birth after 2 C-Sections?

Uterine rupture is the main risk discussed by healthcare providers with parents who want to have a vaginal birth after two C-sections. Uterine rupture occurs when there is a small or large tear in the uterine wall, usually at the initial Cesarean scar location. 

Although the chances are very low, there is a slight increase in rates of uterine rupture for VBA2C, with a rate of approximately 1.4%. ACOG suggests that VBA2C is still a very reasonable option and not a contraindication. 

When it comes to VBAC, there are risks that people should be aware of. However, there are also risks that come with a repeat C-Section. It is very important to learn the risks of VBA2C and repeat Cesarean before deciding on your birth plan.

What is the VBA2C success rate?

Many providers discourage their patients from trying for a VBA2C, when in fact, the chances of having a successful vaginal birth after two C-sections is pretty high. Research shows that people who decide to have a VBA2C will have a 71.1% success rate. 

One of the biggest hurdles for people who want to go forward with delivering vaginally after two C-sections is that it can be hard to find a provider who is up to date with the VBA2C facts and statistics and will truly support them. 

5 VBA2C facts you should know

Now that we’ve covered some of the most common questions about VBA2C, here are five more facts about VBA2C to help guide your journey!

P.S. Did you know Meagan had a VBA2C? You can read her story here.

Look at this picture of Meagan and her VBA2C baby, aren’t they just gorgeous?!

Meagan's VBA2C baby

1. Your chances of a successful VBA2C are similar to those of VBAC after just one Cesarean.

In ACOG Practice Bulletin 184, two large studies are referenced. These studies had sample sizes large enough to account for small variances that might influence the results.

It is significant for ACOG (American College of Obstetrics and Gynecology) to recognize studies like this as credible. In other words, the fact that they are even cited there is AWESOME! 

The two studies referenced in the bulletin concluded that the success rate of vaginal birth after one Cesarean and two Cesareans varies by 2% or less, depending on which study you look at. They also state that having a midwife, doula support, and going into spontaneous labor increase the likelihood of a vaginal birth.

2. ACOG recommends VBA2C as a safe option.

Speaking of ACOG, since 2010, their stance on VBA2C is that it is reasonable to consider:

“…reasonable to consider women with two previous low-transverse cesarean deliveries to be candidates for TOLAC and to counsel them based on the combination of other factors that affect their probability of achieving a successful VBAC.”

ACOG Practice Bulletin Number 205

More important to note is that there is no mention of a requirement to have had a prior vaginal delivery to be considered. If you are going for VBA2C, this bulletin is very important to have in your back pocket as you work with your provider to determine your care. ​​

3. Choosing a repeat Cesarean does NOT eliminate your chance of rupture.

We often only talk about uterine rupture during TOLAC (Trial of Labor After Cesarean, which simply means attempting VBAC), and by choosing elective repeat Cesarean, you can eliminate any chance of uterine rupture.

Although focus is usually on uterine rupture during labor, it is possible for uterine ruptures to occur before labor begins. These types of uterine rupture are usually more devastating, and can cause serious health complications or worse in mother and baby.

It is NOT true that deciding against a VBAC means that you won’t have any risk of uterine rupture. In fact, occasional studies have even found a higher rate of rupture in the elective repeat Cesarean groups! So keep in mind that it is the PREVIOUS CESAREAN that puts you at risk for uterine rupture.

4. There are things you can do to minimize uterine rupture risks.

There are many things you can do to help minimize the risk of uterine rupture, while encouraging labor to progress at your body’s pace. While induction and stimulation of labor are sometimes necessary, studies show they may be factors in uterine rupture risk.

Learning about these factors and discussing them with your provider before the birth will improve your chances of having a successful VBAC, too.

  • Stay away from induction for VBAC unless absolutely necessary.
  • Avoid augmentation of labor (using something to stimulate contractions, usually Pitocin)
  • Avoid excessive Pitocin, and increasing the dose too fast.
  • Avoid Cytotec (misoprostol) COMPLETELY.
  • Avoid providers who aggressively intervene with and manage labor.
  • Stay mobile. Walk, change position and posture when in active labor.
  • In early labor and if labor stalls, rest or sleep.
  • Do EVERYTHING you can to encourage an optimal fetal position BEFORE labor begins.
  • IF your baby is not in a great position and labor stalls, or you have back labor, try optimal fetal positioning exercises like Spinning Babies, MILES circuit, abdominal lifting, side lying, or getting on your hands and knees to try and help baby settle into a better position.
  • Avoid rupturing membranes if the baby is not in optimal position if possible.
  • Avoid or delay getting an epidural for VBAC if possible.
  • Have attentive labor support from a VBAC doula or labor coach ALL THE TIME
  • Be aware of typical labor patterns. Any stall in labor is usually indicative that something needs to change (mindfulness or relaxation for birth, baby position, rest/sleep, and even Pitocin in some instances). Figure out what needs to change and fix it if you can. A long stall combined with high doses of Pitocin is a prime scenario for uterine rupture.
  • HONOR YOUR INTUITION!!! If you feel that something is not quite right or if the baby’s movement is significantly decreased, insist that your provider or their staff pay attention to you. In many instances, uterine rupture occurs when a mother knows something is wrong intuitively before providers pay sufficient attention.

5. The risk for rupture is still incredibly low, maybe even the same as VBAC.

The limit of most VBA2+C research is that almost no studies have controls for Pitocin or other pharmaceutical interventions, and this may be a significant factor.

Although there is still some debate, uterine rupture rates may be somewhat higher in VBA2C when Pitocin or multiple induction agents are used. Nearly all VBA2C studies analyzed stated Pitocin or other drugs to stimulate labor were used with 50% or more of participants.

So, it is impossible to know for sure the true rate of rupture in VBA2C.

Although hard data is lacking, it seems likely that the average VBA2C rupture rate of 1.4% found in the ACOG bulletin could be reduced by inducing less, inducing only when the cervix is ripe, when induction is truly necessary, and using drugs and interventions a lot less (and much more judiciously when they are used).

So, with all this information, should I attempt (TOLAC) a VBA2C?

This is a decision that each family must make for themselves. Take a look at your desires and fears and what motivates YOU. Weigh the benefits and risks based on your specific needs and circumstances.

Listen to the advice of your providers, but remember that each provider differs, sometimes drastically, in their support, knowledge, and how they approach VBA2C. They may not be up to date with current recommendations and guidelines.

Moving forward, seek out the current recommendations and research, talk to several providers and get their opinions until you find one whose knowledge and philosophy align with yours. Weigh the potential risks and benefits and check your own intuition to decide what is best for YOU and YOUR family.

Where to find even more info about VBA2C

Learn more about not only VBA2C but Vaginal Birth after Multiple C-sections (VBAMC) on our blog. 

Check out Episode 2 of our podcast, all about Meagan’s VBA2C journey. Then find more VBA2C birth stories as you continue to listen.

Want to learn everything you can before your VBAC? Register today for our Ultimate VBAC Course for Parents.

About Julie Francom

Hi, I'm Julie Francom, and my goal is to help you feel educated and informed about birth after Cesarean. As a doula, birth photographer, and co-founder of The VBAC Link, it is my job to keep you in the know about all the current evidence and information related to VBAC. I am a mom of four, computer geek, Army vet, and a small-town girl just trying to change the world!

Credentials:
Certified Labor Doula
Certified Birth Photographer
VBAC Childbirth Educator
Business Owner
Bachelor of Science - Information Technology
Masters Degree in Business Administration

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Reader Interactions

Comments

  1. Mayra

    July 26, 2020 at 4:10 pm

    I’ve had two c-sections first one was an emergency due to not being able to push out . Second one was a tolac again unable to push out and ended up having emergency csection . My youngest turned 6 what are my chances of having a normal birth ? The doc/surgeon stressed to me that I had to have csections from now on.

    Reply
    • thevbaclink

      July 30, 2020 at 1:58 pm

      You should still be able to TOLAC, I would recommend finding a VBA2C supportive provider in your area, and building your support team. A VBA2C is definitely possible. Your first two births could have turned to a Cesarean because your babies weren’t in the best position.

      Reply
      • Shari

        August 7, 2020 at 11:28 am

        I had a midwife vaginal delivery with my first…6 years later because of an induction because my baby was big …i dilated and baby came down a bit but a section was done because my doctor found then baby was too high to use instruments and being induced soesnt agree with me at all…just 7 weeks ago after preparing for a VBAC i was told my baby was big and my scar was thin so a repeat section was done although i went into labour the day before…i should have been given the option to try but my OBGYN was worried about the risk…i want another baby ans i want to try a VBAC…i am from Trinidad and like my doctor everyone will support a repeat section but i just want to try to go full term like my first all natural like my first where everything works out…my first delivery was like what they show on television water breaking and everything…any advice even if it means i have to leave Trinidad..

        Reply
  2. Naz

    July 31, 2020 at 1:27 pm

    I had 2 c sections….n now evryone is saying next births will be same….now i can’t have vbac…..is it true?

    Reply
    • thevbaclink

      August 6, 2020 at 2:08 pm

      This isn’t true for everyone, but it depends on why you had your two Cesareans in the first place.

      Reply
      • Julie Ruiz

        November 26, 2023 at 10:34 pm

        Hi, I had a c section 6 years ago (emergency) then 7 months ago, I had a second c section due to baby having cord wrapped and it kept pulling her back instead of letting her go down. I am currently pregnant again and would like to VBAC but everyone keeps telling me I can’t due to having a c section so close to getting pregnant again and since I’ve only had c sections. Thoughts? 😭

        Reply
        • thevbaclink

          December 11, 2023 at 3:24 pm

          Hi, Julie! There are lots of factors to consider when planning a VBA2C. We have several different blog posts and podcast episodes that might be helpful to check out. Also, our How to VBAC Course for Parents is a FABULOUS resource! Feel free to email us at info@thevbaclink.com for more specific insight and recommendations. You’re awesome!!

          Reply
        • Reenah

          January 12, 2025 at 7:58 pm

          Hello Dear. I need you advise.

          I have had two pregnancies. And all my babies have had nuchal cords around the neck.

          My first baby died two days after my emergency C section due to complications of a tight nuchal cord. I was wheeled to theater at 7Cms with a pushing urge

          Second baby, had a loose cord , was allowed to TOLAC but because of the first experience or trauma I had another Emergency C section..

          My girl is now 5 Yeats and I want to VBAC,

          How do I make sure that my baby doesnt get a nuchal cord again

          Second baby

          Reply
          • thevbaclink

            January 13, 2025 at 1:02 pm

            Hi Reenah,

            Wow, you’ve endured so much – you’re a warrior, and we’re so glad you found your way to this community! I’m sending you an email with some additional info. Sending you a hug! 💙

  3. Danielle

    August 5, 2020 at 2:27 pm

    Thank you so much for this very informative article.

    Reply
  4. Heather

    August 7, 2020 at 7:48 pm

    Thank you for your article. My OB said I am a good candidate for a VBAC after 2 c-sections. I want to learn all I can so I can have a successful vaginal delivery. My dr. Said if I am not showing signs of dilation she will strip membranes like a week before my due date. Is that good based on #4 what you wrote in your article. Can I deny that? She also won’t allow me to go over a week passed my due date. Thank you for your advice.

    Reply
    • Lina Kamayoyo

      June 29, 2023 at 2:59 am

      I have two csection and 1 adhesions surgery after a month post my last csection on the same scar can i choose vba2c

      Reply
  5. Bonnie

    August 25, 2020 at 6:22 pm

    I’m 6 months pregnant with my 3rd. My first baby was an emergency Csection and my second was a scheduled C-section, my doctor did not let me choose. My first I had to be induced and and I pushed for an hour before his heart rate started dropping and we had to do the Emergancy Csection. I want to have a VBAC+2 and my doctor thinks I can do it but I am so scared or uterine rupture. I do not want another cesarean. Im at a loss.

    Reply
  6. Aleacia

    September 13, 2020 at 8:30 pm

    I had a c section with my 3 year old because he was breech.. had a second with my now 14 month old because he didn’t come by his due date. I’m pregnant again for my last time can I have a vaginal delivery has anyone had success.. mind you my 11 year old was delivered vaginally

    Reply
    • Sierra

      February 16, 2023 at 2:25 pm

      This is so crazy! You posted this on my upcoming due date and we are in near identical situations (minus the fact that I have no older children) but a 3 yr old that was breech and a repeat for going over my due date! Here’s to us both hopefully going natural without any complications!

      Reply
  7. Jessica

    January 6, 2021 at 1:02 pm

    I had an unplanned C with my first – nurse had me push at 8 cm because of cervical lip and two hours later, no progress. Then I vaginally delivered my second who was stillborn at 24/25 weeks. Tried for a VBAC with my third but he did not tolerate labor and ended with another C. I’m now pregnant with my fourth and my last OB said I could try again. Any tips? If I successfully delivered number two vaginally even though she was tiny, does that increase my odds of another success?

    Reply
    • thevbaclink

      February 3, 2021 at 6:07 pm

      Yes! Having a previous vaginal birth increases your chances of having a VBAC. You also might find this article helpful: https://www.thevbaclink.com/vbac-after-preterm-cesarean/

      Reply
  8. Denisse

    June 8, 2021 at 11:45 am

    I’ve had 2 c-sections. The first failure to progress at 9cm. The second failure to progress (the baby didnt drop) although i was 10 cm. Both with epidural. My dr says if I was to have another baby he recommends a schedule c-section. I refuse! Is it safe to attempt a vba2c under this circumstances?

    Reply
    • Mattie Williams

      July 25, 2023 at 5:59 pm

      I’ve had 2 emergency c sections.
      first one was in 2020 never labored or anything was prepared for emergency c section due to preeclampsia later found out it wasn’t as bad as the doctor said.
      2nd was 2022 I was already 2cm my body was trying to go into labor naturally but my Dr sent me to hospital due to high BP and preeclampsia was induced with foly bulb and meds I stalled at 4cm for 24 hours couldn’t move around or walk due to ” hospital policy” I was on mag drip which I later found out it can stall labor. in future I want to try a home birth because hospitals scare me.. what would be my success rate if I did? based on my info?

      Reply
  9. Shae Cruz

    January 12, 2023 at 8:47 pm

    I’m attempting a vba2c my due date is July 13th 2023. My question is how long is it safe to labor at home? I don’t want any interventions in the hospital but I’m also afraid of rupturing at home and not making it to the hospital in time. I would like to stay home and labor as long as possible but I truly don’t feel that comfortable with it. Would a better option be to get a hotel room close to the hospital?

    Reply
    • Catalina

      May 15, 2024 at 12:20 am

      hi, I had two C-section which both was an emergency, the first one was in 2014 where I just open 3, later I got another c-section again in 2022, two years ago, and I am currently pregnant again and next month I will be 9 months, is it possible having a natural labor or is it best to go through C-section again? I would like to know if it is possible!!

      Reply
      • thevbaclink

        May 15, 2024 at 12:20 pm

        Hi, Catalina! So glad you asked! Hopefully you found this very blog post VBA2C: The Facts & Statistics on Birth After 2 Cesareans to be helpful in understanding the risks and making an informed choice. In many cases, VBA2C is a safe and good option. We highly recommend finding a supportive provider, hiring a doula and educating yourself. Feel free to email us at info@thevbaclink.com for a discount on our How to VBAC: The Ultimate Prep Course for Parents. I think you still have time to complete it before baby arrives! 🙂 Sending you all the love!

        Reply
  10. Rebekah

    August 28, 2024 at 1:16 pm

    Hello VBAC Team, I have had 2 c-sections, the last was almost 8 years ago. With my first I dilated to 8cm before the baby became in distress and they took me in for a c-section. The second I opted for a cesarian due to getting pregnant les then 6 months after my first.
    My current doctor is pushing for a 3rd, as well as my fiancee.
    Is a VBA2C possible for me? I like in Keller, TX, are there any VBA2C doctors in my area?

    Reply
    • thevbaclink

      August 29, 2024 at 11:49 am

      Hey Rebekah! VBA2C is definitely a good and safe option for many moms! I just emailed you some information, but please let us know if you would like more. We definitely recommend checking out our course, How to VBAC: The Ultimate Prep Course for Parents (see my email for a discount code!!!). I think your husband will find the information in the course super helpful, too. Oh, and don’t forget to listen to the stories on our podcast — so many amazing VBA2C stories! We’re rooting for YOU!!!

      Reply

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